Greek PM and leader of New Democracy political party Kyriakos Mitsotakis is bleeding in the polls. EPA/GEORGE VITSARAS

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Greece: Ruling New Democracy Party haemorrhaging votes

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A new poll in Greece shows the corruption-plagued Christian Democrat New Democracy (ND) party would gather only 25.9 per cent in the next parliamentary vote, down from 40.56 per cent in the 2023.

The Interview poll, conducted from 21 to 25 August 2025 with a sample of 2,848, signalled a major erosion of support for the governing party led by Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis.

This decline, coupled with the fragmentation of the opposition, points to a volatile political landscape as Greece approaches the next parliamentary election, expected by July 2027.

In the June 2023 election, ND secured a commanding majority with 158 seats in the 300-seat Hellenic Parliament, bolstered by a majority bonus system that awards up to 50 extra seats to the leading party.

The latest poll, though, indicated a drop of more than 14 percentage points, potentially reducing ND to around 100 seats.

Despite remaining the largest party, ND’s weakened position suggests it may struggle to form a government without coalition partners

Scandals, such as the ‘Opekepe’ agricultural subsidies controversy, alongside public discontent over economic challenges and the handling of the 2023 Tempe railway disaster, have severely tarnished ND’s image.

The opposition, meanwhile, is also lagging.

Pasok-Kinal, now at 14.8 per cent from 11.84 per cent, could be a coalition linchpin but the left-wing opposition still lacked broad support.

Syriza, the former left-wing powerhouse, has plummeted from 17.83 per cent to 4.5 per cent, losing support after internal rifts.

The 2023 resignation of former prime minister Alexis Tsipras, followed by Stefanos Kasselakis’ ousting, spawned splinter groups like New Left (1.4 per cent) and Kasselakis’s Movement for Democracy (5.0 per cent).

Kasselakis previously served as the leader of Syriza. He is now the leader of the political party Movement for Democracy, which he founded in November 2024.

Whispers of Tsipras’ return have been circulating, with some suggesting he could unify the Left or helm a new movement.

Separate polls by GPO and Real Poll, published in July, found that around 19 per cent of respondents would consider supporting a new formation under his leadership.

Former ND PM Antonis Samaras reportedly also considered a political comeback but drew less support.

Course of Freedom, an anti-establishment outfit, has surged from 3.17 per cent to 10 per cent, fuelled by anger over Tempe and governance failures.

The right-wing Greek Solution has climbed to 10.2 per cent from 4.44 per cent, likely absorbing voters from the banned Spartans (4.68 per cent in 2023).

New players, including Voice of Reason (5.3 per cent) and MeRA25 (5.2 per cent), further reflected a fractured electorate drawn to anti-system rhetoric.

The Communist Party (KKE) holds steady at 7.8 per cent, while Niki has dipped to 1.3 per cent.

This fragmented landscape suggests a hung parliament in 2027.

A government spokesperson, Pavlos Marinakis, reacting to a recent interview with Tsipras in French newspaper Le Monde, went on the offensive, noting that the former PM claimed to miss politics but was still an MP, although apparently not especially active in the Greek parliament.

Marinakis also alleged Tsipras “was missed only by the 17,000 hardened criminals, rapists, murderers and drug traffickers released during his term” under penal code changes, calling it “the happiest period for inmates”.