N-VA party chairman Bart De Wever (L) and King Philippe of Belgium after a meeting at the Royal Palace in Brussels, Belgium, 19 August 2024. EPA-EFE/OLIVIER HOSLET

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Coalition talks fail in Belgium as Socialists and Liberals refuse tax compromise

That negotiations could fail over capital gains tax adds to the financial problems left by an outgoing government noted for its lavish spending. In 2023, Belgian national debt reached 105.2 per cent of GDP.

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Talks between parties to form a centre-right government, supported by socialists, have been stranded.

Liberals from Wallonia and Socialists from Flanders were unwilling to come to a compromise on the issue of capital gains tax, forcing lead negotiator Bart De Wever to go to Belgium’s King Philippe and return his assignment to form a government.

That negotiations could fail over capital gains tax adds to the financial problems left by an outgoing government noted for its lavish spending. In 2023, Belgian national debt reached 105.2 per cent of GDP. The deficit was 4.4 per cent. NATO is pressuring Belgium to increase its diminishing defence spending.

This raises the question as to where the new government could find increased revenues. The Belgian public already suffers one of the highest rates of taxation of any developed country.

Foreign investors watch these delays and remember that in 2011 it took Belgian politicians 541 days to form a government.

Despite these problems, De Wever, from the centre-right Nationalist N-VA party, ended up sending a message to the politicians involved in the negotiations to inform them he was pulling the plug, as well as to thank them for their efforts.

The king is reported to have accepted De Wever’s return of the assignment at the royal palace shortly after 8:15 pm on August 22, and will hold a new round of talks with party presidents.

Reacting to the breaking apart of the negotiations, Conner Rousseau, leader of the Flemish Socialists said on Instagram it was “a big waste.”

“Belgium is confronted with the biggest challenge ever. To bring this to fruition you need boldness, courage and fairness.”

“Is it just that some are blocking efforts to make the wealthiest contribute more fairly? That all sacred cows must be slaughtered, except for the hallowed millionaires?”

“No, it’s incomprehensible. Unjust. And this obstruction has caused this attempt to fail,” he added.

“The largest fortunes should contribute more equitably. It’s unfathomable that certain parties are preventing this from happening. Why should every taboo be challenged, yet the ultra-rich remain untouchable? This is both baffling and unfair. Ultimately, it’s this very opposition that has scuppered the entire endeavour.”

His opponent, the leader of the liberal francophone Reformist Movement (MR) party, Georges-Louis Bouchez, meanwhile lashed out at those who would leak the content of the coalition talks ahead of time.

“Since the beginning of this government formation process, the MR has remained entirely discreet about the discussions and will continue to do so. Therefore, we refrain from commenting on partial or inaccurate information in the media,” he said.

“Those who speak off the record are doing the country a disservice. In the June elections, we received a clear mandate. Together with our partners, we are working constructively towards the best balance.

“The fact that we have not yet succeeded is by no means a definitive conclusion. Keeping a cool head and working discreetly are the keys to success. In the interest of our citizens. The MR will always stand up for those who work, save and invest,” he added.

Other parties also weighed in.

“The failure of the current training mission led by Bart De Wever is regrettable, as we have been able to observe his involvement in trying to forge acceptable compromises,” wrote the centrist party Les Engagés in a statement on Thursday.

“It is still necessary for each of the partners to be able to transcend the sole interests of their party to think first of the interest of the country. Falling over a quarrel over a single measure is dramatic for the credibility of the Democrats.”

“Of course we were still far from satisfactory texts, we also had objections on various points. But we had also, as Engagés, achieved significant results in line with our main priorities,” the party added.

Following the elections, optimism for a swift government formation was high, thanks to a historic centre-right victory in Wallonia. For the first time in years, Flanders’ traditionally strong right-wing stance aligned with the southern region’s preferences.

However, due to a cordon sanitaire, Flemish socialists were still needed to secure a majority. Complicating matters further, the previous progressive government led by Alexander De Croo left a significant financial burden. Its lavish spending resulted in a substantial deficit on top of an already hefty historic debt, prompting the European Commission to place Belgium under an Excessive Deficit Procedure.

In 2023, Belgium’s debt reached 105.2 per cent of GDP, with a deficit of 4.4 per cent. Additionally, the country faces pressure to increase its defence spending after years of neglect and failure to meet NATO spending targets.

These challenges must be addressed without drastically raising taxes, as Belgium already boasts some of the highest tax rates among developed nations.

Political analysts predict that a new government is unlikely to form before October, as parties will shift their focus to local election campaigns by then.