Has the West backed the wrong opposition in Iran?

In this latest episode of Frontlines, Iranian researcher and activist Minoo Mirshahvalad discusses the deep divisions within Iran’s opposition landscape, the rise of Reza Pahlavi, the role of foreign-backed Persian-language media, and the future of political change in Iran.

She argues that opposing the Islamic Republic does not automatically qualify a political movement to lead Iran’s future. She raises questions about whether exile opposition groups truly represent ordinary Iranians and examines the influence of foreign governments, media networks, and geopolitical interests on opposition politics.

The conversation explores:

Why she believes Iran’s opposition remains fragmented
The growing prominence of Reza Pahlavi and monarchist movements
The role of groups such as the MEK (Mujahideen-e Khalq)
Foreign-funded Persian-language media and their impact on public opinion
Economic unrest and protests inside Iran
Allegations of outside influence in anti-government movements
The ongoing tensions between Iran, the United States, and Israel
Whether another uprising could emerge inside Iran
What ordinary Iranians are saying about their country’s future

Throughout the discussion, Mirshahvalad presents a perspective that challenges many of the dominant narratives surrounding Iran, regime change, and opposition politics.

What do you think? Can Iran’s future be shaped by opposition groups abroad, or must change come from within the country itself?