The three parties forming the Netherlands’ current coalition government have seen their combined support collapse to just 49 seats in the latest Peil.nl poll conducted by Maurice de Hond, down from 66 seats won in the October 2025 general election.
According to the survey published on June 21, the left-liberal D66 party falls to 19 seats (–7), the right-liberal VVD party drops to 17 seats (–5), and the CDA slumps to 13 seats (–5).
This means that the minority coalition, which already lacks a parliamentary majority, has now lost 17 seats since the election.
The results also show a political landscape with a high number of parties of a fairly similar size.
De Hond’s analysis shows significant regret among coalition voters.
Only 60 per cent of former D66 voters say they would definitely vote for the party again, while VVD loyalty stands at just 47 per cent and CDA at 47 per cent.
Many former coalition supporters are moving rightward to JA21 (now 18 seats, +9) and FvD (17 seats, +10), or to the centre-left PRO alliance (GroenLinks-PvdA), which rises to 25 seats (+5).
The PVV, which is outside the current coalition, also continues to struggle at 17–18 seats, losing ground to Forum for Democracy in particular.
The right-wing segment of the Dutch electorate remains significantly larger than the left overall, but deep fragmentation among those right-leaning parties is preventing it from translating into stronger parliamentary representation and is instead benefiting smaller outfits at the expense of both the coalition and the once leading PVV of Geert Wilders.
The Jetten-led coalition of D66, VVD, and CDA has governed as a minority administration since early 2026 following the collapse of the previous right-wing experiment.
It has faced criticism over economic pressures, migration policy implementation and internal cohesion.
The sharp decline in support comes amid ongoing debates on housing, nitrogen policy, and cost-of-living issues.
The latest Peil.nl figures reinforce a consistent downward trend for the governing parties observed in previous months.
With no elections scheduled until 2030, the results will increase pressure on the coalition to stabilise its position or risk further erosion ahead of any potential confidence votes or policy challenges in the Tweede Kamer.
The poll once again highlights the notorious volatility of Dutch politics and the difficulty minority governments face in maintaining public support.
Maurice de Hond’s Peil.nl polls are among the most closely watched in the Netherlands due to its high accuracy, though it faces criticism over using a self-selected online panel rather than fully random sampling.
They also consistently show stronger support for right-wing parties compared to other pollsters.
Peiling wijst uit: regeringspartijen nu op 17 zetels verlies. Grote winnaars zijn PRO, JA21 en FVD.
In de analyse wordt ingezoomd op onderliggende bewegingen en de voorkeuren van de kiezers aan de linker- en de rechterkant van het spectrum.https://t.co/z7MH1LcsW2 pic.twitter.com/zFiGR2v7Gq— Maurice de Hond (@mauricedehond) June 21, 2026
